Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 8.991734e-05 0.000106 0.000123 0.000142 0.000162 0.000184 0.000209
2025-06-08 6.273569e-05 0.000084 0.000109 0.000139 0.000174 0.000213 0.000259
2025-06-15 4.890341e-05 0.000073 0.000102 0.000139 0.000184 0.000236 0.000299
2025-06-22 3.641099e-05 0.000061 0.000092 0.000133 0.000185 0.000247 0.000324
2025-06-29 2.771589e-05 0.000052 0.000084 0.000129 0.000187 0.000258 0.000349
2025-07-06 2.216972e-05 0.000046 0.000080 0.000129 0.000193 0.000274 0.000378
2025-07-13 1.794869e-05 0.000041 0.000076 0.000129 0.000200 0.000290 0.000408
2025-07-20 1.314159e-05 0.000035 0.000069 0.000123 0.000198 0.000295 0.000424
2025-07-27 1.007724e-05 0.000030 0.000065 0.000121 0.000201 0.000305 0.000446
2025-08-03 8.582392e-06 0.000029 0.000065 0.000124 0.000211 0.000325 0.000481
2025-08-10 6.756825e-06 0.000026 0.000062 0.000124 0.000216 0.000338 0.000507
2025-08-17 5.362678e-06 0.000024 0.000060 0.000124 0.000221 0.000352 0.000534
2025-08-24 3.390806e-06 0.000020 0.000056 0.000122 0.000225 0.000368 0.000568
2025-08-31 1.909839e-06 0.000016 0.000051 0.000120 0.000230 0.000384 0.000605
2025-09-07 1.087410e-06 0.000014 0.000049 0.000120 0.000237 0.000405 0.000648
2025-09-14 4.044095e-07 0.000010 0.000043 0.000115 0.000236 0.000413 0.000673
2025-09-21 1.088918e-07 0.000008 0.000039 0.000111 0.000237 0.000424 0.000701
2025-09-28 1.996933e-08 0.000007 0.000037 0.000110 0.000243 0.000442 0.000740
2025-10-05 4.091287e-10 0.000005 0.000035 0.000110 0.000249 0.000461 0.000781
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000004 0.000031 0.000105 0.000247 0.000467 0.000802
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000003 0.000029 0.000103 0.000249 0.000479 0.000833
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000003 0.000029 0.000106 0.000261 0.000506 0.000884
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000002 0.000027 0.000106 0.000266 0.000523 0.000923